Gacha

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Gacha TERMINAL - GUIDE

Real-time quantitative analysis of CollectorCrypt gacha pulls. Use the data to identify optimal timing for your pulls and maximize your chances of hitting Epics.

All analysis is based on historical pull data. Past patterns do not guarantee future results, but statistical edges compound over time.

QUICK START - HOW TO WIN MORE
1
Check AI Recommendations

The top panel shows all monitored packs ranked by score. Look for PULL NOW badges — these indicate favorable conditions with a score above 70/100 and high confidence.

2
Check the Streak

Each pack has a "streak" — the number of pulls since the last Epic. When the streak is significantly above average (1.5x+), the pack is statistically "overdue" for an Epic.

3
Verify with Hot Cycle Detector

Scroll down to confirm the cycle state. HOT or WARMING states mean recent Epic rates are above normal.

4
Pull on the Best Pack

Choose the pack with the highest recommendation score + a HOT cycle + an overdue streak. This is where all indicators align. Use the OPEN PACKS button in the header.

UNDERSTANDING EACH PANEL
AI RECOMMENDATIONS

The brain of the terminal. Combines all sub-analyses into a single score per pack. Collapsed by default — click to expand for full analysis.

Score /100Composite score: Opportunity (35%) + Cycle (25%) + Probability (20%) + Urgency (20%). Higher = better time to pull.
P(Epic)Bayesian probability of hitting an Epic on the next pull, adjusted for current streak length.
Expected pullsEstimated number of pulls needed to hit the next Epic based on Monte Carlo simulation.
Action badgesPULL NOW score 70+ with high confidence. MONITOR score 50-69, conditions improving. BUILDING score below 50, streak accumulating.
ALL PACK STREAKS

Shows the current epic streak for every pack type, sorted by how overdue they are.

NumberCurrent pulls since last Epic for that pack.
x avgHow many times the average streak this is. 2.0x = twice the normal wait. Higher = more overdue.
Color codingRed (2x+) = heavily overdue. Orange (1.5x) = overdue. Amber (1x) = at average. Blue (<0.5x) = recently hit, cold.
PACK STATS

Basic statistics for the selected pack (or all packs combined).

EPIC %Historical percentage of pulls that were Epic tier. Typically 1-2%.
EPIC $Average insured value of Epic pulls. Higher = more valuable pack.
EPIC STREAK (Heat Gauge)

Visual thermometer showing how overdue the selected pack is for an Epic.

Heat barFills from blue (cold) to red (overdue) based on current streak vs average.
Marker lineWhite line shows where the average streak falls on the scale.
x avg ratioCurrent streak divided by average. Above 1.5x is when things get interesting.
BAYESIAN P(EPIC)

Uses Bayesian inference to calculate the probability of an Epic on the next pull.

Streak-adjusted %Adjusts base probability upward as streak grows (gambler's fallacy correction using real data).
95% CIConfidence interval. Narrow = reliable estimate. Wide = need more data.
ConfidenceHIGH = 80%+ reliable. MED = decent sample. LOW = limited data.
OPPORTUNITY SCORE

Ring gauge showing overall pull opportunity. Combines 4 weighted signals.

STREAK (40%)How overdue the pack is. Longer streak = higher component score.
BAYES (30%)Bayesian probability contribution relative to base rate.
MC (30%)Monte Carlo simulation progress through expected pull cycle.
MONTE CARLO SIM

Runs 10,000 simulated pull sequences to estimate how many pulls until the next Epic.

EXPECTEDAverage pulls needed across all simulations.
MEDIANThe middle value. If lower than expected, distribution is right-skewed.
p10 / p9010th and 90th percentile. 'Optimistic case' vs 'worst case' scenarios.
Distribution barsHistogram of simulated outcomes. Tall bars at low numbers = good odds of hitting soon.
HOT CYCLE DETECTOR

Advanced cycle detection using 5 methods to determine if a pack is in a 'hot' or 'cold' phase.

Cycle ScoreComposite score. 70+ HOT = favorable. 55+ WARMING = improving. <30 COLD = avoid.
RSIRelative Strength Index. Above 60 = bullish Epic rate. Below 40 = bearish.
MACDMoving Average Convergence Divergence. Positive = Epic rate accelerating.
Heat MapWhich days and hours historically have the highest Epic rates.
VelocityCurrent pull speed vs historical average.
GACHA SIMULATOR

Interactive pull simulator with real animations. Simulate opening packs and see results instantly.

Pull countsChoose 1, 10, 100, or 1000 pulls. Small pulls show card-by-card reveal animations.
Pack selectorChoose which pack to simulate. Each has different prices and probabilities.
Card animationsCards flip to reveal tier with colored effects. Epic pulls trigger celebration animations.
Session trackerRunning totals across all your simulated pulls — PnL, epic rate, best pull.
Analysis tabMonte Carlo what-if engine. Set a budget, run 10,000 simulations, see probability distributions.
Compare AllRuns simulation across ALL packs simultaneously. Shows which pack gives best odds for your budget.
LEADERBOARD

Rankings of all tracked wallets across multiple categories and time periods.

CategoriesMost Epics = top collectors. Luckiest = best rate (20+ pulls). Best PnL = highest profit. Biggest Hauls = total value. Most Active = most pulls.
Wallet SearchSearch any wallet address to view detailed stats, PnL breakdown, tier distribution, and recent epics.
Wallet SpotlightClick any row or search result to see full wallet analysis: per-pack PnL, tier breakdown bar, epic history, and streaks.
ColumnsPULLS, EPICS, RATE, SPENT, PnL, ROI, BEST PULL, and FAV pack. Best pull and first pull are always all-time values.
FiltersFilter by time period (7d, 30d, all time) and by specific pack type.
BLESSING WALL

Community donation tracker. Shows live donations to the project wallet in SOL, USDC, and gift packs.

Live donationsReal-time feed of incoming donations to the project wallet, detected on-chain.
Send Gift PackLinks to CollectorCrypt gift sending page. Gift packs support the community.
DonateCopy the donation wallet address to send SOL, USDC, or gift packs directly.
ALERTS

Real-time notifications about significant events across all monitored packs.

HOTAI recommendation alert. Score hit 70+ — pull now!
CLUSTERMultiple Epics in a short window. Pack may be in a hot streak.
OVERDUEStreak exceeded 1.5x average. Statistical pressure building.
BUILDINGExtended building streak. 1.7x+ average or 100+ pulls.
OPPORTUNITYStreak is 2x+ average. High-conviction pull signal.
WINNING STRATEGY
The Convergence PlayRISK: LOW

Wait for 3+ indicators to align on the same pack: PULL NOW recommendation + HOT cycle + overdue streak (1.5x+ avg). This is the highest-conviction setup.

The Heat Map SniperRISK: MEDIUM

Use the Heat Map to find the best day+hour slots. Only pull during those high-rate windows. Even a small edge compounds over dozens of pulls.

The Momentum RiderRISK: MEDIUM

Monitor the ALERTS panel for BUILDING STREAK signals (1.7x+ avg). These packs are accumulating momentum. The longer the streak builds, the stronger the statistical pressure.

The Pack RotationRISK: LOW

Never commit to one pack. Rotate between whichever pack has the highest recommendation score. The AI analyzes all packs simultaneously and tells you which one to pull.

The Simulator TestRISK: LOW

Before spending real money, use the Gacha Simulator to test your budget across different packs. Compare all packs side-by-side to find the best odds for your budget.

GLOSSARY
EpicTier 1 prize. The rarest and most valuable outcome.
StreakNumber of consecutive pulls without an Epic.
PnLProfit and Loss. Value received minus total spent.
ROIReturn on Investment. PnL as a percentage of money spent.
BayesianStatistical method that updates probability based on observed data.
Monte CarloRunning thousands of random simulations to estimate outcomes.
RSIRelative Strength Index. Momentum indicator (0-100).
MACDMoving Average Convergence Divergence. Trend acceleration indicator.
EWMAExponentially Weighted Moving Average. Recent data weighs more.
CUSUMCumulative Sum. Detects regime changes (hot/cold transitions).
Building StreakExtended period between Epics where momentum accumulates.
RegimeCurrent statistical phase (hot/cold) based on changepoint detection.
USEFUL LINKS
🃏
OPEN LUCKY PACKS
Open lucky packs on CollectorCrypt
📢
FOLLOW PCX9
Updates and announcements
🏠
COLLECTOR CRYPT
Main CollectorCrypt platform

Gacha TERMINAL is an analytical tool. All data is derived from statistical models applied to historical pull data. This is not financial advice. Gacha outcomes are ultimately random. Use this tool to make informed decisions, not guaranteed ones.